1. Slick mathematics applied to soft data yield slick, soft results that would be dangerous if left on a sidewalk.
2. If the Bayesian prefers, he can… with some boggle, imagine an infinite sequence of distinct universes selected at random… The notion of a random selection of universes is of course purely metaphysical… and any crutch to one’s judgement can be used unofficially. It might be inexpedient to mention to one’s customers that one had such naughty unscientific private thoughts.
(from The Estimation of Probabilities by Irving John Good, via An Ergodic Walk)
2. If the Bayesian prefers, he can… with some boggle, imagine an infinite sequence of distinct universes selected at random… The notion of a random selection of universes is of course purely metaphysical… and any crutch to one’s judgement can be used unofficially. It might be inexpedient to mention to one’s customers that one had such naughty unscientific private thoughts.
(from The Estimation of Probabilities by Irving John Good, via An Ergodic Walk)